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Prediction markets
54 active markets
· category “Tech”
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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$2T
99%
>$1.8T
99%
14 more
$20.0M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
69 trading now
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
99%
<1.0T
1%
6 more
$1.87M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIA
77%
Company A
50%
27 more
$650K
Vol.
Aug 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
49 trading now
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
99%
No IPO before 2028
1%
6 more
$4.26M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$142K
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Other (incl $SPCX)
99%
$SEX
1%
17 more
$7.08M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
57 trading now
3rd Largest Company end of August?
Alphabet
62%
Company A
50%
27 more
$143K
Vol.
Aug 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
58 trading now
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$167K
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
43 trading now
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
27 more
$82K
Vol.
Aug 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
44 trading now
Anthropic next funding round closed by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$31K
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
What will Spotify say during their next earnings call?
Quarter 15+ times
97%
User 5+ times
97%
14 more
$10K
Vol.
Aug 4
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
36 trading now
2nd Largest Company end of September?
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
27 more
$7.9K
Vol.
Sep 30
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
42 trading now
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